Message from the Secretary-General
Voices of the Vulnerable
The Multiplier Effect of Global Crises
Pushing the Limits
Lessons from the Present
Watch List for Leaders
Why a Global Impact and Vulnerability Alert System?
Endnotes
Acknowledgements

PUSHING THE LIMITS

Vulnerable households have learned to become immensely resourceful in finding ways to survive with less in hard times. Options are often so few that households are sacrificing long-term prospects for day-to-day survival. This choice is never made lightly, as the story of Nesar Uddin, a rickshaw driver in Bangladesh, illustrates:
"Despite working harder these days, I am struggling to provide for my family. Due to the price rise recently, I am now pulling my rickshaw for at least eight hours a day...I know that if I can save some money, then I can continue the education of my children. And unless we continue the education of our children, they won’t be able to do anything for the family and the country in the future. Yet, saving like this is really difficult in the present situation. I think that I need to find some way of earning money other than by my rickshaw because I can’t maintain my family with just half a day’s income. If I cannot do this, then we have no choice."2020
What we see in today’s multiplier effect of the crises is that – in contrast to previous shocks – many vulnerable and poor households seem to be reaching the limits of their coping strategies. The margin left to deal with the consequences of the economic recession without risking longer-term negative costs is decreasing. As in previous crises, women and children bear the brunt of household adjustments.
Options for finding new or additional employment are dwindling. Given increasingly competitive labour markets, both in the formal and informal sectors, many individuals report that they are finding themselves in poor negotiating positions with employers or middlemen when seeking additional or new income earning opportunities. Anecdotal evidence suggests that there has been a rise in worker exploitation by unscrupulous employers. Women are particularly vulnerable.
Households are cutting their costs to the bare minimum, often having to further reduce basic expenditures. Case study after case study shows that more and more households are switching to cheaper diets with less preferred foods. Some households also report a reduction in the number of meals they consume each day. Domestic food prices in many countries continue to be tenaciously high. The consequences are immediate and stark: 100 million more people have become undernourished in the last year alone.21 This number could further swell.
"The financial crisis has affected our eating habits. We are having food that is literally made in water. We are able to eat Chapattis once in four days only. Most of the time we have to skip lunch and sustain only on breakfast… On some days, we go to sleep at night without having any meals."22
Men – but especially women – are reportedly walking long distances to collect wild fruits and vegetables. The poaching of wild animals has also been reported. Past experience and emerging evidence show that these types of wild food sources are quickly depleted, and increased scarcity can be the source of greater conflict. In addition, eating wild animals has in the past been associated with the spread of life-threatening diseases, such as Ebola and anthrax.
Households are digging themselves deeper into debt. There are numerous accounts of increased and multiple borrowing, often at exorbitant rates. Begging seems to be on the rise in many parts of the world. In addition, there are signs that in a few cases families are being forced to sell off productive assets.
With everyone in trouble, the family and community safety net is tearing. Slightly ‘better off’ people who in the past had been able to implement positive coping strategies – such as diversifying product ranges or looking for new markets – no longer seem to have these options.
José, owner of a medium-sized leather workshop in Nicaragua, explains that the crisis has hit him "in the sales, because I live from my sales. But I say to myself, I have to look for alternatives to go forward. How? Well, by looking for new ideas so that my products can be sold in two or three different places, to look for another style, other forms, other places where I can sell my things. And those things are scarce under these circumstances and these subhuman conditions we are living in."23
Community-based and other non-governmental organizations still may have some resources to support those in need. However, their capacities are increasingly being drained as they too feel the impact of the global economic crisis.
The past suggests that individuals and households who experience even short periods of vulnerability or poverty may never recover. They continue to suffer long after global and national indictors signal a return to economic growth and stability. At this point, the data on all of these dynamics is sketchy.
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